Legislature(2011 - 2012)SENATE FINANCE 532

02/24/2011 09:00 AM Senate FINANCE


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09:06:16 AM Start
09:06:23 AM Public Employee Retirement System (pers) and Teachers Retirement System (trs) Update.
10:25:41 AM Adjourn
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
+ Financial Update of Public Employee Retirement TELECONFERENCED
System and Teachers Retirement System by the
Department of Administration
+ Bills Previously Heard/Scheduled TELECONFERENCED
                  SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE                                                                                      
                     February 24, 2011                                                                                          
                         9:06 a.m.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:06:16 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CALL TO ORDER                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair   Stedman  called  the   Senate  Finance   Committee                                                                   
meeting to order at 9:06 a.m.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS PRESENT                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Senator Lyman Hoffman, Co-Chair                                                                                                 
Senator Bert Stedman, Co-Chair                                                                                                  
Senator Lesil McGuire, Vice-Chair                                                                                               
Senator Johnny Ellis                                                                                                            
Senator Dennis Egan                                                                                                             
Senator Donny Olson                                                                                                             
Senator Joe Thomas                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS ABSENT                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
None                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
ALSO PRESENT                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Mike   Barnhill,    Deputy   Commissioner,    Department   of                                                                   
Administration;   Gary  Bader,   Chief  Investment   Officer,                                                                   
Department of Revenue.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
SUMMARY                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
^Public  Employee  Retirement   System  (PERS)  and  Teachers                                                                   
Retirement System (TRS) Update.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
9:06:23 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman discussed  the  financial  overview of  the                                                                   
PERS  and TERS  retirement  systems.  He mentioned  that  the                                                                   
Permanent  Fund  Dividend  (PFD)  would  be  discussed  in  a                                                                   
future meeting.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
MIKE   BARNHILL,    DEPUTY   COMMISSIONER,    DEPARTMENT   OF                                                                   
ADMINISTRATION introduced himself.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
GARY BADER,  CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, DEPARTMENT  OF REVENUE                                                                   
introduced  the  PowerPoint  presentation   "Public  Employee                                                                   
Retirement  System  (PERS)  and  Teachers  Retirement  System                                                                   
(TRS) (copy on file)."                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill discussed Slide 2: "PERS/TRS Update."                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
   I. Basic Facts                                                                                                               
  II. Investments                                                                                                               
 III. Recent Assumption Changes                                                                                                 
  IV. SB 125 State Assistance                                                                                                   
   V. Future                                                                                                                    
  VI. Other Issues                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill detailed Slide 4: "PERS/TERS Basic Facts."                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     A.   Membership                                                                                                            
     B.   Organization                                                                                                          
     C.   Balance Sheet                                                                                                         
     D.   Health Cost Trends                                                                                                    
     E.   Funding Ratio History                                                                                                 
     F.   Employer Contribution Rates                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill discussed Slide 5: "Basic Facts-Membership-                                                                        
     PERS."                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
        160    Member Employers                                                                                                 
          3    Defined Benefit (DB) Tiers                                                                                       
     25,015    retirees                                                                                                         
      6,566    terminated   members    entitled   to   future                                                                   
               benefits                                                                                                         
     27,565    actives (74.55%)                                                                                               
     59,146    total members                                                                                                    
          1    Defined Contribution (DC) Tier                                                                                   
          0    retirees                                                                                                         
        304    terminated   members    entitled   to   future                                                                   
               benefits                                                                                                         
      9,412    actives (25.45%)                                                                                               
      9,716    total members                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
9:12:18 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill discussed Slide 6: "Basic Facts-Membership-                                                                        
     TRS."                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     TRS:                                                                                                                     
     58 Member Employers                                                                                                        
     2 Defined Benefit (DB) Tiers                                                                                               
     10,255    retirees                                                                                                         
          884  terminated   members    entitled   to   future                                                                   
          benefits                                                                                                              
       8,226  actives (78.4%)                                                                                                 
     19,365    total members                                                                                                    
     1 Defined Contribution (DC) Tier                                                                                           
              0     retirees                                                                                                    
          394 terminated    members    entitled   to   future                                                                   
          benefits                                                                                                              
       2,269   actives (21.6%)                                                                                                
       2,663  total members                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
          884  terminated   members    entitled   to   future                                                                   
          benefits                                                                                                              
       8,226  actives (78.4%)                                                                                                 
     19,365    total members                                                                                                    
     1 Defined Contribution (DC) Tier                                                                                           
              0     retirees                                                                                                    
          394 terminated    members    entitled   to   future                                                                   
          benefits                                                                                                              
       2,269   actives (21.6%)                                                                                                
       2,663  total members                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman elaborated that TRS included teachers and                                                                      
PERS was comprised of municipalities and state employees.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill  added  that  the   PERS  included  160  member                                                                   
employers, the  largest of which  is the state  comprising 50                                                                   
percent  of the  workforce and  contributions. The  remaining                                                                   
159 employers are municipalities,  school districts and other                                                                   
small organizations.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman   asked  if   every  school  district   and                                                                   
municipality was included. Mr. Barnhill concurred.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Senator McGuire  asked about  the smaller organizations.  She                                                                   
requested  a list  of organizations.  Mr. Barnhill  responded                                                                   
that a small number of organizations  are members of PERS. He                                                                   
offered to provide a complete list.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
9:15:00 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator Egan asked how many retirees  were entitled to future                                                                   
benefits. He wondered how many  retirees were not entitled to                                                                   
future benefits.  Mr. Barnhill  responded that PERS  included                                                                   
the category  termed "inactive  non-vested" including  people                                                                   
who cashed  out contributions  to the  system. He noted  that                                                                   
PERS had  14,600 people in the  category. He stated  that the                                                                   
deadline for re-vesting has already expired.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator Egan  asked if  the 14,600  people were not  eligible                                                                   
for reentry to the system. Mr. Barnhill concurred.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
9:16:24 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill  detailed Slide  7: "Basic  Facts-Organization."                                                                   
He explained that  the organization of the system  is divided                                                                   
into  three  primary  entities,  the  Department  of  Revenue                                                                   
(DOR), the Alaska Retirement Management  Board (ARMB) and the                                                                   
Department of Administration (DOA).  Each entity has separate                                                                   
functions  with respect to  the system.  The DOR through  the                                                                   
treasury  division is  the investment  manager  of the  trust                                                                   
fund  assets. The  department hires  investment managers  and                                                                   
consultants.  The ARMB  is the  fiduciary of  the trust  fund                                                                   
assets. The  ARMB sets the  rates and the investment  policy,                                                                   
which the division of treasury carries out.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill  continued  that   DOA  handles  the  liability                                                                   
issues.  The department  has  staff to  serve  the ARMB.  The                                                                   
department  also  has  a contract  with  the  actuary,  which                                                                   
serves the needs  of the Division of Retirement  and Benefits                                                                   
(DRB) and ARMB.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
9:17:48 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill detailed Slide 8: "Basic Facts-Balance Sheet."                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     PERS DB:                                                                                                                 
       Assets (Mkt. Value, 12/31/10) $10,901,792,145                                                                          
          Accrued Liabilities (Net Present Value 6/30/2010)                                                                     
                         17,190,284,000 Unfunded Liability                                                                    
                         $6,288,491,855                                                                                         
          Funding Ratio 63.42%                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
       TRS DB:                                                                                                              
        Assets (Mkt. Value, 12/31/10) $4,603,709,667                                                                            
          Accrued Liabilities (Net Present Value 6/30/2010)                                                                     
                         8,449,650,000 Unfunded Liability                                                                     
                         $3,845,940,333                                                                                         
          Funding Ratio 54.48%                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill stated  that the figures differ  from the assets                                                                   
that the  actuary reports in  its most recent  evaluation. He                                                                   
mentioned  that Buck Associates  is the  state's actuary.  An                                                                   
update is expected in April.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman asked  about  the trust's  litigation.  Mr.                                                                   
Barnhill  replied that  the  topic is  covered  on Slide  31:                                                                   
"Other   Issues-Mercer  Settlement."   He   noted  that   the                                                                   
Department  of  Law  (DOL)  on behalf  of  ARMB  settled  the                                                                   
lawsuit against  the system's former actuary  Mercer for $500                                                                   
million in  June 2010.  The system  netted $402 million  from                                                                   
the settlement.  The $402 million was allocated  between PERS                                                                   
and TRS.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  asked if the  balance reflected in  Slide 8                                                                   
accounted  for  the  contribution   of  the  settlement.  Mr.                                                                   
Barnhill  responded yes,  in  addition to  recent  investment                                                                   
gains in the market.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
9:20:31 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill  continued that the unfunded  liabilities listed                                                                   
are estimations and  Bach Consultants is working  on its 2010                                                                   
evaluation. He expected the figures to change somewhat.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Hoffman asked  how the funding  ratios for  defined                                                                   
benefits under PERS compare to  other defined benefits in the                                                                   
nation. Mr. Barnhill  replied that Alaska's funding  ratio is                                                                   
low in comparison with other systems  in the nation. Co-Chair                                                                   
Hoffman  asked  for a  percentage  in comparison  with  other                                                                   
defined  benefit  contributions.  Mr. Barnhill  replied  that                                                                   
some systems  have approximately 100 percent  funding ratios.                                                                   
Other systems  have less than  50 percent funding  ratios. He                                                                   
stated that various estimates  are used by actuaries to gauge                                                                   
the  health of  a system.  He  opined that  a healthy  system                                                                   
showed ranges of  70 to 80 percent. He added that  PERS is 63                                                                   
percent and TRS is closer to 50  percent. The percentages are                                                                   
indicative of a poorly funded system.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman asked  about and the  pension site  without                                                                   
the health insurance. Mr. Barnhill  stated that Alaska is one                                                                   
of four states that forward funds health care.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
9:24:01 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  clarified that benefit programs  are not at                                                                   
risk. He stated the goal to shrink  the balance. Mr. Barnhill                                                                   
appreciated  the  point and  highlighted  the  constitutional                                                                   
requirement.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  pointed  out   that  Alaska  includes  the                                                                   
prefunding  of  health  insurance. Mr.  Barnhill  noted  that                                                                   
Alaska was  one of  four states  that prefunded health  care.                                                                   
The  funding  ratio  for both  pension  benefits  and  health                                                                   
benefits is equal.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  pointed  out   the  negative  $10  billion                                                                   
balance.  He did  not  want the  public  to  assume that  the                                                                   
benefit payments were at risk.  He stated that the goal is to                                                                   
shrink the negative $10 billion  imbalance between assets and                                                                   
liabilities.  Mr. Barnhill  agreed  and  added that  everyone                                                                   
working  on the  problem is  committed to  one goal  ensuring                                                                   
that all  benefits  are paid when  due. He  agreed that  many                                                                   
challenges exist  to bring the  system back into a  status of                                                                   
full funding.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
9:25:41 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill discussed  Slide  9: "Basic  Facts-Health  Cost                                                                   
Trends."  He  noted  that  the  slide  is  derived  from  the                                                                   
actuarial evaluation released  by Buck Consultants. The slide                                                                   
depicts the last  30 years during which Alaska  experienced 9                                                                   
percent  inflation  in  its health  care  costs.  The  number                                                                   
demonstrates that  Alaska has  been unable to  control health                                                                   
cost growth  over the long  term. Medical costs  increased in                                                                   
excess of the  rate of inflation in Alaska.  The actuary must                                                                   
recognize  the trend  adequately  in the  rates  set for  the                                                                   
system. The  rates produced less than adequate  contributions                                                                   
by employers,  which was  the basis of  the Mercer  law suit.                                                                   
The   DOR  is   reviewing   the  situation   carefully   with                                                                   
consideration of a variety of  initiatives designed to change                                                                   
the trend.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
9:27:26 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill  discussed  Slides  10 and  11:  "Basic  Facts-                                                                   
Funding  Ratio  History-PERS."  He noted  that  the  relative                                                                   
funding of the  systems in 1979 is similar  to present times.                                                                   
The state achieved 100 percent funding in the mid 1980s.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill discussed  Slide 12:  "Contribution Rates."  He                                                                   
noted that rates  are board adopted. The board  adopted rates                                                                   
in the  early 2000s are low  reflecting the oversight  of the                                                                   
actuaries. He  recalled that  the teacher's retirement  board                                                                   
had a  policy of flat  rates in  the 1990s, which  eliminated                                                                   
rate volatility  for school districts.  In 2002,  the systems                                                                   
received  an actuarial  audit  and the  oversights by  Mercer                                                                   
were  first detected.  The  actuary  rates spiked  after  the                                                                   
audit, but  the boards pursued  a policy of increasing  rates                                                                   
by 5 percent per  year. He noted that 2004  through 2007 show                                                                   
an incline of contribution rates.  He recalled SB 141 passing                                                                   
in 2005, which sunset the Teacher's  Retirement board and the                                                                   
Public Employees Retirement board  and replaced them with the                                                                   
current ARMB.  The ARMB set the  rates at the  actuarial rate                                                                   
creating  the  spike seen  in  2007  and 2008.  He  mentioned                                                                   
considerable  concern about  the  impact of  50 plus  percent                                                                   
contribution rates in school districts.  The legislature took                                                                   
measures by  appropriation and passed  SB 125, which  set, by                                                                   
statute  the  employee  contribution  rate for  TRS  at  12.5                                                                   
percent and for PERS at 22 percent.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  clarified percent of payroll.  Mr. Barnhill                                                                   
concurred.   He  described   the  breakdown   of  the   rates                                                                   
illustrated.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
9:31:36 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill  continued that the  initial spike  trended down                                                                   
through 2009 and  2010, which reflected investment  gains and                                                                   
actuarial gains. The great recession  in 2008 and 2009 caused                                                                   
rates to  spike again. The  actuarial rates are  projected at                                                                   
50 percent for TRS and 30 percent  for PERS. He noted that SB
125 allows the state to cover  the difference and the funding                                                                   
is appropriated in the operating budget.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  added that the state could  fund 14 percent                                                                   
of payroll without the unfunded liability.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill added that rates  are high and expected to rise.                                                                   
Municipal employers will continue  to pay 22 percent of their                                                                   
total payroll.  School districts  will pay only  12.5 percent                                                                   
of the total payroll. The state  picks up the remainder under                                                                   
SB 125.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
9:33:45 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Bader discussed Slide 14:  "Investments-ARMB Assets Under                                                                   
Management." He stated  that DOR manages $18  billion of non-                                                                   
retirement funds  and another $19  billion of funds  that are                                                                   
part of  the retirement system  now subject to  the fiduciary                                                                   
oversight  of  the  ARMB. He  mentioned  14  different  funds                                                                   
associated with  the defined  benefit retirement  account. He                                                                   
quoted  that the  PERS  trust  was at  $6 billion,  the  PERS                                                                   
health trust at $4.8 billion,  the TRS retirement trust at $3                                                                   
billion and  the TRS health trust  at $1.5 billion.  The ARMB                                                                   
is  responsible for  oversight  of the  supplemental  annuity                                                                   
plan which  is in deferred  comp and totals approximately  $3                                                                   
billion. He  explained that the  retirement accounts  must be                                                                   
managed separately according to the advice of tax council.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Bader discussed Slide 15:  "Investment-Asset Allocation."                                                                   
He mentioned  that the asset  allocation is currently  active                                                                   
for all defined benefit plans  except the military retirement                                                                   
plan.  The  target  allocation   has  29  percent  of  assets                                                                   
invested  in   domestic  equities,   23  percent   in  global                                                                   
equities,  7 percent in  private equity,  16 percent  in real                                                                   
assets, 5  percent in  absolute return,  19 percent  in fixed                                                                   
income, and 1 percent in cash.  The board adopts bands around                                                                   
which  staff is  permitted  to allow  the  investment mix  to                                                                   
change.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Bader discussed  Slide 16: "Investments-  US Stock Market                                                                   
Historical Returns."  He commented  on the pictorial  view of                                                                   
the  history of  equity markets.  The example  shows that  29                                                                   
percent of the yearly returns are negative.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
9:37:50 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Bader  discussed  Slide   17:  "Investments-Fiscal  Year                                                                   
Returns." He explained  that returns of the PERS  and TRS are                                                                   
similar  to those  of the permanent  fund.  He added that  an                                                                   
eighteen year  period shows that  the PERS and TRS  were very                                                                   
close to the returns of the permanent  fund. Co-Chair Stedman                                                                   
asked why  the five and  eighteen year periods  were selected                                                                   
for the illustration.  Mr. Bader responded that  the ten year                                                                   
comparison was not favorable.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  requested the measurement periods  for one,                                                                   
three, five, and ten year returns.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
9:39:33 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Egan  asked about  returns  before 1993.  Mr.  Bader                                                                   
responded that  Callan Associates had the  requested figures.                                                                   
He offered to provide the returns to the committee.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill added that eighteen  years was reflective of the                                                                   
two  board's fiduciary  responsibility  over  the assets.  He                                                                   
stated  that a  30  year annualized  return  is 8.7  percent,                                                                   
which  is much  higher due  to extraordinary  returns in  the                                                                   
early  1980s.  Mr. Bader  added  that  the five  year  return                                                                   
corresponds  to the length  of period that  the ARMB  has had                                                                   
fiduciary responsibility.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  added that some historic data  is available                                                                   
in his  office. He noted  that the history  occurs in  a wide                                                                   
range of  annual books  addressing stocks,  bonds, and  other                                                                   
asset classes.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
9:41:51 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Bader   mentioned   Slide  18:   "Investments-Cumulative                                                                   
Returns."  He  noted  that  the  lines  shown  represent  the                                                                   
returns  provided. The  red line shows  the cumulative  total                                                                   
return of  the fund over  the past 18  or 19 years.  The blue                                                                   
line  represents how  the fund  would perform  at its  target                                                                   
asset allocation  using index  returns. The curvilinear  line                                                                   
represents   that   which   the  fund   would   have   earned                                                                   
cumulatively had  it earned the 8.25 percent,  or the assumed                                                                   
rate of return.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Senator   McGuire   asked   about  health   costs   and   the                                                                   
consideration  of  their  percentage  of  growth.  Mr.  Bader                                                                   
responded that  the health costs  manifest themselves  in the                                                                   
calculated  contribution rate.  The  investments intended  to                                                                   
return a certain amount.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Senator McGuire opined that with  an unachieved target of 8.5                                                                   
percent,  the  legislature  must  have  future  conversations                                                                   
about the  actual costs  associated with  paying benefits  to                                                                   
beneficiaries including percentages earned.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
9:44:49 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill agreed.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  agreed that a similar chart  led to finance                                                                   
member  confusion in  the past  when the  committee was  told                                                                   
that no problem existed. The committee's  request was to take                                                                   
the targeted  8.25 percent and  "shoot it forward."  The data                                                                   
is  conceptually difficult  for  some members.  He  requested                                                                   
that the asset value for June  30 with a target of 8.25, with                                                                   
a new growth line for each year.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:47:23 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Senator McGuire  added that the  health care costs  should be                                                                   
located in  the chart  as well.  Co-Chair Stedman noted  that                                                                   
the   health  care   costs  fall   back   to  an   increasing                                                                   
contribution rate.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman stated that a  higher targeted rate would be                                                                   
unattainable.   He  noted  the   need  for  prudence   in  an                                                                   
attainable target.  The ARMB is required by  statute to match                                                                   
assets and liabilities.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill mentioned a contemporary  conversation regarding                                                                   
the issue of appropriately matching  assets with liabilities.                                                                   
He  mentioned  that  the  investment   return  assumption  of                                                                   
systems like  PERS and  TRS should be  reduced to  a riskless                                                                   
rate  of return  like  5  percent,  which is  something  that                                                                   
Alaska  has  not  embraced.  The   choice  would  double  the                                                                   
unfunded liability for Alaska,  which would increase employer                                                                   
contribution rates.  The historic rates of return  are closer                                                                   
to the  rate of return.  Alaska, the  ARMB, and most  pension                                                                   
boards around the  country are not embracing the  notion of a                                                                   
riskless rate of return.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  commented that data from the  last 15 years                                                                   
with a targeted rate of return would be helpful.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill  offered to  portray  the  numbers in  any  way                                                                   
needed by the committee.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
9:51:52 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Bader described Slide 20: "Recent Assumption Changes."                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     ƒAS 37.10.220(a)(9) requires a review of actuarial                                                                        
        assumptions every four years                                                                                            
     ƒBuck Consultants performed the experience study                                                                          
     ƒGabriel Roeder Smith & Co. reviewed and certified                                                                        
        the Buck experience study                                                                                               
     ƒBased on the Buck and GRS reports, the ARM Board                                                                         
        modified some of its actuarial assumptions                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Bader discussed  Slide 21:  "Recent Assumption  Changes-                                                                   
Investment Returns."                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     ƒInvestment Return Assumption reduced from 8.25% to                                                                       
        8.00%                                                                                                                   
          - 4.88% real return assumption                                                                                        
          - 3.12% inflation assumption                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Senator  Thomas  referred  to  Slide 17.  He  asked  why  the                                                                   
proposed  investment  return  assumption  is reduced  by  one                                                                   
quarter  of a  percent. Mr.  Bader responded  that the  board                                                                   
lowered  the percentage  to 8 percent  to remain  competitive                                                                   
with other funds.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Senator Thomas  thought that the  state's experience  and the                                                                   
performance   of  the   permanent  fund   might  affect   the                                                                   
investment return assumption.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
9:55:21 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill  responded  that  the  country  saw  a  gradual                                                                   
reduction from  investment returns  in the 8.5  percent range                                                                   
down to  8 percent and lower.  Pension systems  are resisting                                                                   
the notion of percentages lower than 7.5.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  stated  that  the  finance  committee  has                                                                   
expressed  concern   that  8.25  is  a  high   target,  which                                                                   
artificially suppresses  the liability.  He wished to  view a                                                                   
better estimate of  the liability and asset  spread. He asked                                                                   
why  the  asset allocation  is  so  similar  to that  of  the                                                                   
permanent fund  when the objectives  appear to  be different.                                                                   
He encouraged  additional opinions. He discussed  the state's                                                                   
liquidity  position. He  expected  the finance  committee  to                                                                   
request additional consultants to provide varying opinions.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
9:59:14 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  appreciated the lower target.  Mr. Barnhill                                                                   
replied  that  the lower  rate  will  have a  future  impact.                                                                   
Whenever the  investment return  assumption is lowered,  some                                                                   
impact will exist for the unfunded  liability. He predicted a                                                                   
modest  increase  in the  unfunded  liability  and the  total                                                                   
employer contribution rate. He  added that the permanent fund                                                                   
changed  its asset  allocation  and adopted  different  asset                                                                   
categories.  The similarity  in returns  for the  funds is  a                                                                   
result of exposure to equities.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
10:01:14 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Bader discussed  Slide 22:  "Recent Assumption  Changes-                                                                   
Contribution Rate Impact."                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
                        PERS    TRS                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     FY 2012 Employer Contribution Rate     30.76%   42.61%                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     Change in Demographics (net)             1.25%   5.55%                                                                     
          (post termination mortality)                                                                                          
     Change in Earnings Assumption      1.53%   1.77%                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
     Total Change in Employer Contribution    2.78%   7.32%                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     FY2012 Employer Contribution Rate -                                                                                        
     Revised                                33.54%   49.93%                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
10:04:01 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman asked  about excess  contributions made  by                                                                   
the state.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill  discussed Slides  23  and  24: "SB  125  State                                                                   
Assistance."  The  slides depict  the  payments  made by  the                                                                   
state historically  and the  projected amounts.  He mentioned                                                                   
2009; the first  year that SB 125 took affect  when the state                                                                   
paid $400 million.  He mentioned that prior  to the enactment                                                                   
of SB 125, the  state made a similar payment to  buy down the                                                                   
rate for the  year. He stated that the governor  has proposed                                                                   
amounts  of  approximately  $470  million  in  the  operating                                                                   
budget  for the  FY  12 payment  amount.  The proposed  state                                                                   
assisted  amount under  SB 125  will climb  steeply and  will                                                                   
crest  over $1  billion  in  ten years  on  its  way to  $1.4                                                                   
billion in 2029. He explained  the sharp drop in 2029 because                                                                   
the initial unfunded liability,  which was the product of the                                                                   
actuarial audit in 2002 equaling  $4.4 billion, will be fully                                                                   
amortized   under  a   25  year   amortization.  Once   fully                                                                   
amortized, the state assistance  will drop considerably under                                                                   
SB 125.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Senator McGuire asked to see pre  SB 125 and post SB 125 data                                                                   
regarding state contribution to PERS and TRS.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  offered  to  provide  the  information  to                                                                   
Senator McGuire.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
10:09:31 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill   stated  that   the  legislature   contributes                                                                   
considerable  funding   to  the  system.  He   noted  further                                                                   
contributions from the employers.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman mentioned  the  judiciary retirement  plan.                                                                   
Mr.  Barnhill added  that the  contribution  to the  judicial                                                                   
retirement  system was  considerably smaller  with a  funding                                                                   
hole of $10 or $20 million. The  proposition of fully funding                                                                   
the  judicial  retirement  system  is  an  easy  prospect  in                                                                   
comparison to that of PERS and TRS.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
10:11:22 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill discussed Slide 26: "PERS/TRS Future."                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
     ƒARM Board held work session in September 2010 at the                                                                     
        request of legislative finance.                                                                                         
          - Discussed how to best address unfunded                                                                              
             liability                                                                                                          
          - Modeled different approaches and scenarios                                                                          
          - Discussion and modeling is ongoing                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill  discussed Slide  27:  "PERS TERS  Future."  He                                                                   
informed  that  unfunded liability  is  referred  to as  soft                                                                   
liability  and equals  roughly $10  billion. The  legislature                                                                   
and ARMB determine  the payment of the liability.  The policy                                                                   
concern  is whether  to pay more  now or  later. He  stressed                                                                   
that the actual  benefit payments were not  a soft liability.                                                                   
The payments  will  exist until  2080 or 2090  when the  last                                                                   
defined benefit member  passes away. A long term  view of the                                                                   
benefit  payments  was  projected  by  Buck  Consultants  and                                                                   
depicted on  the slide. The  projected benefit  payments will                                                                   
crest  over  $3  billion  per  year  for  a  20  year  period                                                                   
beginning in 2028.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill detailed Slide 28: "Future."                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
   Long term observations:                                                                                                      
     ƒSharply declining petroleum revenues post-2030                                                                           
     ƒOther obligations (schools and Medicaid) will                                                                            
        compound fiscal situation - paying now versus paying                                                                    
        more later is in sharp tension                                                                                          
     ƒPaying more now and reducing state savings accounts                                                                      
        could reduce budgeting flexibility post-2030 at a                                                                       
        time when state savings account may be necessary to                                                                     
        "keep the lights on"                                                                                                    
     ƒPaying less now increases expenses in the long term                                                                      
     ƒMore critical thinking and discussion about a global                                                                     
        approach to structuring state finances and budgeting                                                                    
        including a long term plan for PERS/TRS funding is                                                                      
        needed                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
10:16:26 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill discussed  Slide  30: "PERS/TRS  Other  Issues-                                                                   
Termination  Studies."  He  informed that  the  PERS  statute                                                                   
states  that when  an employer  either terminates  completely                                                                   
from PERS, or  terminates a classification of  employees from                                                                   
PERS, a  termination study is  required. The additional  cost                                                                   
of the  study will be billed  to the employer.  The actuaries                                                                   
report that when a class of employees  is terminated, changes                                                                   
in  retirement  behavior  occur.  When  an  employee  retires                                                                   
earlier   than   anticipated,   an  unfunded   liability   is                                                                   
established  in the  system.  The termination  study  ensures                                                                   
that the system  remains whole as a result  of changes caused                                                                   
by a  particular employer.  Co-Chair Stedman  added that  the                                                                   
liability  would fall  to  the  state. He  did  not want  the                                                                   
liability to shift. Mr. Barnhill agreed.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill  added that  he requested  that Buck  Associates                                                                   
summarize the termination studies  that occurred in 2010. The                                                                   
studies are depicted on Slide  30. Each study cost a total of                                                                   
$25 hundred and  produced a onetime termination  ranging from                                                                   
$10  thousand  to  $21  thousand.   The  statute  allows  the                                                                   
division of  Retirement and Benefits  to have a  payment plan                                                                   
with the  municipality allowing  the cost  to be spread  over                                                                   
time to  reduce the  impact on finances.  He opined  that the                                                                   
statute was  fair. One issue  raised regarded  the production                                                                   
of unfair  double counting.  He mentioned  current work  with                                                                   
the  Department  of  Law  (DOL) with  the  objective  of  the                                                                   
elimination of unfair double counting.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman mentioned  Fairbanks and  a similar  issue.                                                                   
The risk  is that multiple  municipalities will go  broke. He                                                                   
stressed that  shifting liability presents a  large issue. He                                                                   
wished to see the contribution rate drop to 14 percent.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
10:21:28 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Barnhill mentioned  Slide  32: "PERS/TRS  Other  Issues-                                                                   
PERS  Payroll."   The  information   was  requested   by  the                                                                   
Legislative Finance division.  The defined benefit portion of                                                                   
the declining payrolls is illustrated in the slide.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Barnhill noted  Slides 34 and 35: "PERS/TRS."  The slides                                                                   
illustrate the  employee contribution  rates in PERS  and TRS                                                                   
including the adoptive  rate, the board rate, and  the SB 125                                                                   
rate.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Stedman  offered to work with the  department on the                                                                   
regulatory issue of the termination  study. He explained that                                                                   
some municipalities  feel that  they are not treated  fairly.                                                                   
Mr. Barnhill  understood and  welcomed the collaboration.  He                                                                   
offered  to provide information  from  the DOL regarding  the                                                                   
reported double counting.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Stedman  expected to  have  additional  information                                                                   
from  Buck Associates  regarding  the payment  structure.  He                                                                   
wished to avoid the payment of $1.4 billion per year.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
ADJOURNMENT                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
10:25:41 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
The meeting was adjourned at 10:26 AM.                                                                                          

Document Name Date/Time Subjects
110224 Retirement System Presentation to Senate Finance.pptx SFIN 2/24/2011 9:00:00 AM
PERS and TRS Presentation